Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 7.692688 8.491491 9.360255 10.379074 11.545927 12.846240 14.412779
2026-01-04 6.689075 7.763198 9.010816 10.580782 12.523129 14.873314 17.972287
2026-01-11 5.878377 7.046633 8.463219 10.332209 12.771066 15.900062 20.310043
2026-01-18 5.491385 6.765745 8.368931 10.573354 13.589957 17.672990 23.799289
2026-01-25 5.027158 6.326007 8.007384 10.395984 13.791928 18.594809 26.191006
2026-02-01 4.661090 5.973818 7.716117 10.263783 14.012434 19.531564 28.701557
2026-02-08 4.339515 5.650662 7.429133 10.096776 14.144357 20.325237 31.075048
2026-02-15 4.048229 5.344808 7.137366 9.887471 14.176613 20.947571 33.233394
2026-02-22 3.837980 5.135840 6.963897 9.831565 14.428610 21.933696 36.159642
2026-03-01 3.573132 4.831126 6.628690 9.497807 14.197641 22.078771 37.555761
2026-03-08 3.298179 4.495964 6.227120 9.028734 13.698514 21.701615 37.883521
2026-03-15 3.126465 4.302763 6.025727 8.859956 13.682796 22.167134 39.942450
2026-03-22 3.187504 4.463615 6.379004 9.626175 15.369525 25.987612 49.822324
2026-03-29 3.104913 4.401372 6.381201 9.810730 16.049037 28.012628 56.307853
2026-04-05 2.940493 4.203197 6.154446 9.585169 15.948898 28.473247 59.230802
2026-04-12 2.881591 4.166088 6.183435 9.803949 16.705108 30.792467 67.312295
2026-04-19 2.751872 4.009606 6.007019 9.643045 16.706849 31.503725 71.390342
2026-04-26 2.639577 3.875445 5.859745 9.523065 16.776270 32.371159 76.126557
2026-05-03 2.529412 3.739481 5.701799 9.371437 16.765336 33.053241 80.518227
2026-05-10 2.419822 3.599567 5.529787 9.181305 16.655873 33.490016 84.299354
2026-05-17 2.341339 3.507492 5.435058 9.130502 16.835316 34.645194 90.700231
2026-05-24 2.225405 3.348351 5.216242 8.827039 16.442270 34.335778 92.182622
2026-05-31 2.095595 3.161520 4.941496 8.400047 15.746498 33.186353 90.528558